Home-sale predictive analytics
built solo
Combining un-normalized county, municipal, court, and utility sources into two models, who's likely to sell, and which homes are likely to profit, then marketing the overlap.
to sell likely
profitable
By focusing on the overlap, we turned marketing dollars and effort into over 1,000 homes purchased.
- 1 Likely to sell. Motivation that decays over time: a utility disconnect cools in weeks, a probate or divorce stays warm for months.
- 2 Likely profitable. Z-score position against the neighborhood cohort: undervaluation, not absolute price.
- 3 The hard part. Normalizing inconsistently-styled neighborhood names so the peer cohorts are real. The model is only as honest as the entity-resolution under it.